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Tàu có nguy cơ mỗi ngày có 22.000 người bị nhiễm corona nặng. Đầu đuôi vì vakzine của Tàu không hiệu quả bằng vakzine của Mỹ, Đức, Anh, Thụy Điển v.v..

Mới đọc lướt qua chưa hết, rất thú vị, có thể biết khá nhiều về tình hình bên Tàu. Có thể dùng Google dịch vì việt cộng làm theo y chang Tàu nên nếu quan tâm VN thì nên đọc bài báo này. Trong báo nói Tàu muốn trong nước không có ai bị lây nhiễm!!! nên rất khắc khe, chỉ có lý do chính đáng mới được bước ra khỏi nhà. Không làm theo bị bắt là Tàu đem ra giữa đường bêu riếu! 

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Link nguồn, báo n-tv:

https://www.n-tv.de/panorama/Wieder-was-gelernt-Podcast-zu-Omikron-China-drohen-22-000-schwere-Verlaeufe-taeglich-article23036194.html

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Zero Covid until the bitter end: China is threatened with 22,000 severe courses every day

 04.01.2022  - detv.us

With its zero-covid strategy, China has so far got through the pandemic lightly. But the Omikron variant always requires new draconian measures, and in many places at the same time. Does the People’s Republic fail because of poor vaccines and its own pride?

As of Tuesday, China recorded 108 new corona cases. A tiny number of cases compared to Hundreds of thousands of infectionsthat the USA, Great Britain or other countries currently report daily. But still there are 108 too many, because China is the only country in the world that is still trying to eradicate the virus. With draconian measures, as is currently being felt by 13 million people in Xi’an.

The day before Christmas, the lockdown in the hometown of the world-famous Terracotta Army began after 69 cases of infection. Only one person per household was allowed to go shopping every two days. The other family members had to stay at home – unless they are working in the pandemic response. Mass tests were ordered, schools and shops were closed, and bus and rail traffic was suspended, with a few exceptions.

But success is slow to come. More than 1,600 cases of infection have been recorded in Xi’an since December 9. That’s most of them for China since then very first outbreak in Wuhan At the beginning of 2020. In the meantime, the number of cases is falling again, but the measures had to be sharpened again: Many residents are only allowed to leave their apartments to be tested for the corona virus. Supermarkets are closed and shopping is prohibited. Guards in the apartment blocks check that everyone is observing them.

Anyone who manages to get out of the apartment anyway and thus violates the rules, will performed publicly and humiliated. Or removed from his post, like two important party officialswho were responsible for the worst-hit district in Xi’an and who did not seem to act quickly enough at the beginning of the outbreak.

Always new outbreaks

Health professionals like Tulio de Oliveira however, have doubts that public penalties make sense. The director of the South African epidemic protection agency – Center for Epidemic Response and Innovation – is part of the team that identified the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus at the end of November. He fears that the Delta successor is so contagious that it can even take the toughest of measures no longer eradicated but continues to spread.

Delta was probably responsible for the outbreak in Xi’an at the beginning of December, but Omikron has now also arrived in China. In several cities and metropolises, also in Hong Kong, authorities are investigating further outbreaks. From now on this also applies in the metropolis Yuzhou a strict lockdown with curfews and mass tests. In addition, as in the east Chinese city Ningbo repeatedly smaller delta clusters.

Logistic mammoth task

In order to contain this, the authorities must identify chains of infection as quickly as possible and isolate all contact persons – this is how zero Covid works. But with Omikron in particular, it is similar to the famous fight against the windmills: Many cases are asymptomatic. Often those affected do not even notice that they are infected and unknowingly infect other people – with a variant that jumps so quickly from one host to another that you are always one step too late when you follow up.

Then all that remains is the hammer, a complete lockdown like in Xi’an, which has to be monitored and in which the supply of the population without shopping facilities has to be ensured. A logistical mammoth task that even a powerful and rich surveillance state like China cannot repeat indefinitely.

Experts like de Oliveira therefore expect Beijing to have to say goodbye to the zero Covid strategy in the medium term. Just like Australia, New Zealand and Singapore last year: These three countries had also tried to eradicate Sars-CoV-2. Successful at first, but then they found that the virus kept coming across the borders from abroad and that it was theirs Don’t lock populations forever be able. In the case of bloody corona protests, the pent-up anger of people discharged.

In China, too, frustration is growing. “Desperate residents” from Xi’an report on social networks that they are the food runs out. According to the Deutsche Welle Above all, many migrant workers and day laborers have to go hungry because they do not have refrigerators in which to store food until shopping is allowed again.

Does China fail because of its own success?

But China cannot do otherwise. In a few weeks, on February 4th, the Winter Olympics will begin in the capital Beijing. A prestige event that the communist leadership around President Xi Jinping does not want to be destroyed by a corona wave – even if many thousands of athletes and officials from Omikron-plagued foreign countries flock to the People’s Republic.

China experts warned months ago that China fail due to the success of the zero covid strategy could. “The problem is: what if the limits open? What if other variants are introduced?” Said Nis Grünberg from the Mercator Institute for Chinese Studies (Merics) in the ntv “Wieder Was Learned” podcast. The population is less contaminated than in other countries, he said. No way out of this situation has yet been found.

“Unstoppable burden for the health system” Covid-19 courses of the WHO Level 0: Not infected Level 1 (outpatient treatment): no restriction in daily activities Level 2 (outpatient treatment): restriction in daily activities Level 3 (mild course): hospitalization without oxygen supply Level 4 ( mild course): Hospitalization with oxygen supply
Stage 5 (severe course): hospitalization with high-flow oxygen therapy; Stage 6 (severe course): hospitalization with mechanical ventilation via intubation
Stage 7 (severe course): Hospitalization with mechanical ventilation and external organ support such as Ecmo therapy Level 8: death

Beijing University researchers investigated what would happen if China did adopt open models from other countries would. If you take the British regulations, there is a risk of a good 275,000 new cases of infection every day, of which just under 10,000 would end up being severe. If the US situation is transferred to China, the estimates are even more dramatic: the scientists warn of almost 640,000 new infections every day and 22,000 severe courses that would have to be mechanically ventilated in hospitals.

That would be almost four times as many patients as had to be cared for in intensive care in Germany in the worst phase of the pandemic to date. Almost exactly a year ago, on January 3, 2021, 5762 Covid patients were in German intensive care units.

If the country opens up, there is a risk of “unbearable strain on the Chinese health system,” warn the Beijing researchers. And add that their estimates are cautious, based among other things on the assumption that the Chinese vaccines work just as well as Astrazeneca, Biontech or Moderna – and that is very likely not the case.

Vaccines? Hardly work

The vaccination rate in China is high. Almost 85 percent of the 1.4 billion inhabitants are immunized, but so far only with the Chinese own products Coronavac and Sinopharm. Initial studies suggest that neither of the two active ingredients protects against a severe course in the event of an infection with the Omikron variant – even if a booster has been administered. Only after one Booster vaccination with Biontech A noticeable protection built up, as researchers from Hong Kong have discovered.

But the German-American booster will most likely not exist, because despite its worldwide success, China still has the mRNA vaccine a year after the start of the global vaccination campaign not allowed. Out political reasons, as the “South China Morning Post” conjectures. Beijing first wants to approve its own mRNA vaccine before using a foreign one, estimates the Hong Kong newspaper. In addition, using Biontech boosters would be an admission that the Chinese vaccines have failed.

more on the subject

It would be similar if the zero-Covid strategy were abandoned. Since the beginning of the pandemic, the leadership in Beijing has not missed an opportunity to demonstrate its own superiority – often with the help of Death toll: In other countries many people die, the governments there are incompetent. In China there are – officially at least – only 4,600 corona deaths. The Communist Party has the pandemic under control unlike Europe or the USA, that’s roughly the message.

A message designed to prove that tight city lockdowns, travel bans, government surveillance, and mass testing are appropriate. Even if rules like 56 days quarantine after entering the country from overseas no longer just seem extreme, but above all exaggerated. Will such measures against the Omikron variant help? Questionable, but the leadership in Beijing has no choice but to stick to zero Covid. Anything else would be an admission that China, too, made mistakes in two years of the pandemic.